The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 2-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -72.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +72.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record2-12-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size14 games
ROI-72.7%
Units Won-10.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20190-3-00.0%-100.0%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20230-2-00.0%-100.0%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a perfect storm of psychological and cultural factors that have plagued the franchise for over a decade. Pittsburgh's blue-collar identity often works against them in bounce-back situations on the road, where the team's emotional, momentum-driven style clashes with the clinical execution required to cover spreads as favorites. When coming off defeats, the Steelers tend to press too hard early, leading to uncharacteristic mistakes that keep games closer than the betting line suggests. Mike Tomlin's coaching philosophy emphasizes resilience and toughness, but this approach can backfire when the team is expected to dominate inferior opponents away from Heinz Field. The Steelers often play down to their competition level, particularly when carrying the psychological weight of a recent loss into hostile territory. Their defensive-minded culture thrives on emotion and crowd energy, which dissipates significantly in road environments where they're heavily favored. Smart bettors should consistently fade Pittsburgh in this exact scenario, as the combination of inflated expectations and road pressure creates consistent value on the underdog. This trend matters most when the Steelers are favored by more than a field goal on the road after suffering a divisional loss.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 2-12-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate against the spread in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -72.7% ROI. This trend has been consistently unprofitable over the 2014-2024 period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than typical NFL trends, as most teams perform closer to 50% ATS. The Steelers' 14.3% cover rate in this situation is exceptionally poor compared to league standards.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.