The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 3-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -72.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +72.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record3-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size21 games
ROI-72.7%
Units Won-15.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20180-1-00.0%-100.0%
20190-4-00.0%-100.0%
20200-2-00.0%-100.0%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20230-2-00.0%-100.0%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' dismal performance as road favorites stems from their organizational identity crisis when expectations shift. Pittsburgh has historically thrived as underdogs or home favorites, feeding off Heinz Field's energy and their blue-collar, "us against the world" mentality. When they travel as favorites, this psychological edge evaporates, replaced by the pressure to validate public perception against teams with nothing to lose. Pittsburgh's defensive-minded culture often struggles to impose its will in hostile environments when opponents know they're getting the Steelers' best shot. Their offensive inconsistency becomes magnified on the road, where they can't rely on crowd noise to disrupt opposing passing games or create momentum shifts. The Steelers frequently play down to competition, a tendency that becomes costly when laying points away from home. The coaching staff's conservative approach in these spots often backfires, as they attempt to manage games rather than dictate them. This leads to sluggish starts and allows inferior opponents to hang around longer than the spread suggests they should. Bettors should target Pittsburgh road favorites when they're laying more than a field goal, particularly against divisional opponents or teams coming off emotional victories. This trend carries the most weight in December and January when playoff implications intensify the psychological burden.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as away favorite?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 3-18-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 14.3% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away favorites is highly unprofitable with a -72.7% ROI. This means you would lose approximately 73 cents for every dollar wagered over this 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as away favorites typically cover around 45-50% of the time. The Steelers' 14.3% cover rate as away favorites is exceptionally poor compared to league norms.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.