Pittsburgh Steelers Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 4-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Steelers' struggles as road underdogs following victories stem from a combination of organizational culture and psychological factors that create exploitable betting patterns. Pittsburgh's identity as a traditionally dominant franchise makes them particularly vulnerable to letdown spots when oddsmakers correctly identify them as underdogs away from Heinz Field. The team's veteran leadership and championship pedigree often leads to overconfidence after wins, especially when facing teams that the market views as superior. This pattern intensifies because the Steelers historically rely on their physical, defensive-minded approach that travels poorly in hostile environments. When they're underdogs on the road after a win, it typically means they're facing elite competition in difficult venues where their ground-and-pound style becomes less effective. The emotional high from a previous victory, combined with the challenge of maintaining intensity against superior opponents, creates a perfect storm for underperformance against the spread. The most actionable insight here is recognizing when Pittsburgh enters these spots against high-powered offensive teams that can exploit their occasional lapses in focus. This trend becomes most critical when the Steelers are road underdogs of 3-7 points after home victories, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds complacency.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 4-6-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 40% ATS win rate over 10 games in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away underdog after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away underdogs after a win has not been profitable. The strategy shows a -23.6% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the typical 50% ATS expectation for any betting situation. The -23.6% ROI indicates substantial underperformance compared to league averages in similar spots.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.