The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 12-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -46.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +46.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record12-31-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size43 games
ROI-46.7%
Units Won-20.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-6-00.0%-72.7%
20153-1-00.0%+43.2%
20160-3-00.0%-100.0%
20181-4-00.0%-61.8%
20191-6-00.0%-72.7%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20230-2-00.0%-100.0%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' struggles as road favorites following consecutive wins stem from a dangerous combination of overconfidence and their historically inconsistent road mentality. Pittsburgh has long been a team that feeds off Heinz Field's energy, and when they hit the road riding high from back-to-back victories, they often fall victim to looking ahead or underestimating opponents who view them as prime upset targets. Mike Tomlin's teams have shown a pattern of emotional letdowns in spots where they're expected to dominate, particularly when facing teams with nothing to lose. The Steelers' offensive philosophy, which relies heavily on timing and rhythm, becomes more vulnerable on hostile road environments where communication breaks down. Their defense, while talented, has historically struggled to maintain the same intensity level when facing lesser opponents away from home. The market consistently overvalues Pittsburgh in these situations, inflating spreads based on their recent success rather than their actual road performance against motivated underdogs. Smart bettors should consider fading the Steelers when they're road chalk coming off multiple wins, especially against divisional opponents or teams fighting for playoff positioning. This trend carries the most weight in December games when Pittsburgh has already secured playoff positioning but faces desperate teams needing every win.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone 12-31-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing away after winning 2 or more consecutive games from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 27.9% ATS win rate over 43 games.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as away favorites after 2+ wins has been highly unprofitable with a -46.7% ROI. This trend shows consistent losses for bettors over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 27.9% ATS win rate is significantly below the league average of approximately 50% for similar situations. The Steelers have been one of the worst teams to bet on in this specific scenario.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.