The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 14-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record14-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size36 games
ROI-25.8%
Units Won-9.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20154-2-00.0%+27.3%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20181-4-00.0%-61.8%
20190-3-00.0%-100.0%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20240-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational culture and strategic predictability that creates exploitable betting opportunities. Pittsburgh's defensive identity and ball-control offensive approach often leads to grinding wins that don't reflect true team strength, creating inflated public perception and betting lines. The team historically relies on emotional peaks to overcome talent deficits, making it difficult to maintain consistent performance levels across consecutive games. Mike Tomlin's coaching philosophy emphasizes "next man up" mentality and treating each game independently, but this approach can backfire when players subconsciously ease off the intensity following emotional victories. The Steelers' tendency to play to their competition level becomes particularly problematic after wins, as they often face letdown spots against teams they're expected to handle easily. Their conservative offensive philosophy under various coordinators has made them vulnerable to teams that stack the box and force Ben Roethlisberger or his successors into uncomfortable passing situations. The most actionable insight for bettors is to target Pittsburgh as road underdogs following home wins, particularly when facing teams with strong rushing attacks that can exploit their post-victory complacency. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and prime-time spots where emotional swings are amplified.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as after a win?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 14-22-0 ATS record when playing after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 38.9% ATS win rate over 36 games.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers after a win has not been profitable, showing a -25.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents a significant loss for bettors who consistently backed the Steelers in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Steelers' 38.9% ATS win rate after wins is well below the league average of approximately 50%. Their performance in this situation has been consistently poor for bettors over the past decade.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.