Philadelphia Eagles vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Philadelphia Eagles in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Philadelphia Eagles are just 9-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Eagles' struggles against conference opponents stem from a fundamental challenge that plagues many NFC teams: the psychological weight of divisional and conference familiarity. Philadelphia's coaching staff under various regimes has historically approached NFC matchups with conservative game plans, often playing not to lose rather than to dominate. This defensive mindset becomes particularly pronounced when facing teams they'll potentially meet again in the playoffs, leading to predictable offensive schemes that savvy NFC defensive coordinators exploit. Philadelphia's roster construction has consistently favored versatility over specialization, which works well against unfamiliar AFC opponents but becomes a liability when facing NFC teams that have extensive film study and divisional intel. The Eagles' tendency to rely heavily on their offensive line's dominance often backfires against conference foes who've had multiple opportunities to study their blocking schemes and develop specific counter-strategies. The recent uptick in their last ten games suggests this trend may be evolving, particularly as the team has embraced more aggressive play-calling under current leadership. Bettors should exercise extreme caution when backing Philadelphia as favorites against NFC opponents, especially in prime-time conference matchups where the psychological pressure amplifies their conservative tendencies. This trend carries the most weight during late-season conference games with playoff implications, when Philadelphia's risk-averse approach becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Eagles's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Philadelphia Eagles have a 9-12-0 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 42.9% ATS win rate over 21 games.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Eagles as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia Eagles against conference opponents has not been profitable. The team has generated a -18.2% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would have lost money consistently.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS win rate that represents league average. The Eagles' 42.9% ATS rate against conference opponents indicates they have consistently failed to cover spreads in these matchups.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.