The data suggests caution when backing the New York Jets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the New York Jets are just 4-11-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -49.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +49.1%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record4-11-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size15 games
ROI-49.1%
Units Won-7.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20190-3-00.0%-100.0%
20200-3-00.0%-100.0%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20240-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jets' divisional struggles stem from their chronic instability at quarterback and coaching positions, creating a perfect storm against familiar AFC East opponents who've learned to exploit their weaknesses. Buffalo, Miami, and New England have built defensive schemes specifically designed to neutralize whatever offensive identity the Jets attempt to establish each season. The psychological weight of facing division rivals who know your tendencies intimately becomes magnified when your own identity shifts constantly due to personnel changes. New York's defensive-minded approach often keeps games competitive early, but their offensive limitations become glaring in the second half when division opponents make adjustments. Teams like New England have historically dominated time of possession against the Jets, wearing down their defense while their offense struggles to sustain drives. The familiarity factor works against a franchise that lacks consistent offensive philosophy, as division rivals can game-plan more aggressively knowing the Jets' limited scoring potential. Smart bettors should target Jets divisional games when they're road favorites or in primetime spots where the pressure amplifies their historical shortcomings. This trend carries the most weight during late-season divisional matchups when playoff implications create additional pressure the Jets have consistently failed to handle.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Jets's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The New York Jets have a 4-11-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 26.7% ATS win rate over 15 games.

Is betting on the New York Jets as vs division opponent profitable?

No, betting on the New York Jets against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -49.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost nearly half their investment backing the Jets in divisional matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Jets' 26.7% ATS win rate against division opponents is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their -49.1% ROI indicates substantially worse performance than typical NFL betting outcomes.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.