New York Jets As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New York Jets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the New York Jets are just 13-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -40.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +40.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jets' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise-wide pattern of crumbling under elevated expectations. When oddsmakers install New York as the betting favorite, it typically signals rare moments of optimism around a historically dysfunctional organization, creating a dangerous gap between perception and reality. This team has consistently demonstrated an inability to handle pressure situations where they're expected to win. The Jets' coaching instability over the past decade has meant constantly changing systems and philosophies, making it nearly impossible to develop the consistent execution required when opponents gameplan specifically to upset them. Their offensive line issues and quarterback carousel have been particularly exposed in spots where they should theoretically dominate lesser competition. The psychological burden appears heaviest in divisional games and primetime spots, where the New York media microscope intensifies. Teams facing the Jets as underdogs often play with house money, while New York frequently appears tight and mistake-prone when carrying the weight of expectations. Smart bettors should be extremely cautious backing the Jets as road favorites or in any spot where they're favored by more than a field goal. This trend matters most in September and October games when early-season optimism hasn't yet been crushed by reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New York Jets's ATS record as as favorite?
The New York Jets have a 13-29-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024. This translates to a 31.0% ATS win rate over 42 games as favorites.
Is betting on the New York Jets as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the New York Jets as favorites is not profitable. The team has produced a -40.9% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately 41 cents for every dollar wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Jets' 31.0% ATS win rate as favorites is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their -40.9% ROI indicates they are one of the worst teams to bet on when favored.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.