New York Giants Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Giants' struggles as large favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and organizational reality. When sportsbooks install New York as touchdown-plus favorites, they're typically banking on opponent weakness rather than Giants strength. This franchise has lacked the explosive offensive firepower and defensive dominance necessary to blow out NFL competition consistently over the past decade. Psychologically, the Giants have shown a troubling pattern of playing down to inferior competition. Whether it's conservative game-planning with big leads or a lack of killer instinct, they've repeatedly allowed supposedly overmatched opponents to hang around and cover spreads. Their offensive identity has been built around ball control and field position rather than the explosive plays that create comfortable margins against weak teams. The coaching staff's tendency toward risk-averse decision-making compounds this issue. When facing teams they should dominate, the Giants often shift into clock-management mode too early, allowing backdoor covers and keeping games closer than the talent differential suggests they should be. This trend carries the most weight when the Giants face bottom-tier opponents during prime-time slots or division games where emotional factors can level the playing field despite significant talent gaps.