The data suggests caution when backing the New York Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the New York Giants are just 11-44-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -61.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +61.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record11-44-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size55 games
ROI-61.8%
Units Won-34.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20151-4-00.0%-61.8%
20160-4-00.0%-100.0%
20170-6-00.0%-100.0%
20181-5-00.0%-68.2%
20190-6-00.0%-100.0%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20211-2-00.0%-36.4%
20223-3-00.0%-4.5%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20242-5-00.0%-45.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' struggles as favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and organizational reality over the past decade. This franchise has operated with consistently flawed roster construction, particularly along the offensive line and at skill positions, creating a team that looks competitive on paper but lacks the execution to cover spreads when expected to win. The psychological burden of being favored has consistently exposed their limitations, as opponents play with house money while the Giants face the pressure of meeting elevated expectations. New York's coaching instability and quarterback carousel have compounded these issues, creating an environment where the team frequently fails to capitalize on advantageous matchups. When the market makes them favorites, it's often based on opponent weaknesses rather than Giants strengths, leading to letdown performances against motivated underdogs. The franchise's tendency to play down to competition becomes magnified when they're expected to dominate, resulting in close games that rarely cover the spread. The most profitable approach is fading the Giants as road favorites of three points or more, where their organizational shortcomings become most apparent against desperate home underdogs. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and late-season contests when playoff implications create additional pressure on an already fragile team structure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Giants's ATS record as as favorite?

The New York Giants have an 11-44-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 20% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team as favorites over this period.

Is betting on the New York Giants as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the New York Giants as favorites is highly unprofitable with a -61.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 62 cents for every dollar wagered on the Giants when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as favorites typically cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Giants' 20% cover rate as favorites is among the worst in the NFL over this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.