The data suggests caution when backing the New York Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the New York Giants are just 3-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -71.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +71.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record3-17-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size20 games
ROI-71.4%
Units Won-14.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20170-3-00.0%-100.0%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20190-2-00.0%-100.0%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20241-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of organizational instability and mental fragility that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. When this team faces adversity, they historically lack the leadership structure and veteran presence needed to bounce back in hostile environments where they're expected to dominate lesser opponents. The psychological weight of being favored on the road after already disappointing their fanbase creates a pressure cooker scenario that exposes their fundamental weaknesses. New York's coaching carousel since their last Super Bowl run has left the team without consistent identity or game-planning excellence. Road favorites must execute at a high level while managing crowd noise and unfamiliar surroundings, but the Giants have repeatedly shown they crumble when facing these dual pressures. Their offensive line struggles become magnified in away games, while their defense often allows explosive plays that flip momentum early. The pattern reveals a franchise that consistently overperforms public expectations during the betting market adjustment period, creating inflated lines that savvy bettors can exploit by fading them in these specific spots. This trend matters most when the Giants are small road favorites against divisional opponents or teams with strong home-field advantages, where the psychological and environmental factors compound most severely.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Giants's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The New York Giants have an ATS record of 3-17-0 (15% win rate) when playing as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst situational betting trends for the franchise over the past decade.

Is betting on the New York Giants as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Giants as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -71.4% ROI. This trend has resulted in significant losses for bettors, making it one to avoid.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most NFL teams typically cover around 50% of spreads in similar situations. The Giants' 15% ATS rate in this scenario is exceptionally poor compared to league norms.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.