New Orleans Saints As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the New Orleans Saints in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the New Orleans Saints hold a record of 37-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +50.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $24 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 7-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Saints' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience forged through adversity. This franchise has consistently operated with a "nobody believes in us" mentality, particularly evident during their championship run and subsequent years when they were frequently undervalued by oddsmakers despite maintaining competitive rosters. Head coach Sean Payton's aggressive offensive philosophy thrived when expectations were lowered, as the team could unleash creative play-calling without the pressure of being favored. The Superdome advantage amplifies this trend significantly. New Orleans crowds create an intimidating environment that becomes even more electric when the team enters as underdogs, providing tangible home-field value that oddsmakers historically underestimated. The Saints' offensive system under Payton and Drew Brees was particularly effective at exploiting defensive game plans designed to contain a "lesser" team, often catching opponents off-guard with their sophisticated passing attack. Bettors should target Saints underdog spots in prime-time games and divisional matchups, where motivation peaks and the crowd factor intensifies. This trend carries the most weight when New Orleans faces quality opponents at home while catching points, as the combination of undervaluation and environmental advantages creates optimal betting conditions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as as underdog?
The New Orleans Saints have an outstanding 37-10-0 ATS record as underdogs from 2014-2024. This means they have covered the spread in 37 out of 47 games when not favored, giving them a 78.7% ATS win rate.
Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Saints as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 50.3% ROI over this period. This exceptional return means that for every $100 wagered, bettors would have gained approximately $50 in profit.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Saints' 78.7% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the league average of approximately 50%. Their 50.3% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to typical sports betting returns, making them one of the most profitable underdog bets in the NFL during this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.