The public often underestimates the New Orleans Saints in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the New Orleans Saints hold a record of 18-3-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +63.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record18-3-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size21 games
ROI+63.6%
Units Won+13.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-0-00.0%+90.9%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20202-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20233-0-00.0%+90.9%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Saints' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic advantages that transform the Superdome into a fortress when expectations are low. New Orleans thrives on the "nobody believes in us" mentality, with players and coaches historically rallying around perceived disrespect from oddsmakers. The team's offensive system, particularly during the Drew Brees era and continuing with their current roster, exploits the controlled environment of their dome to maximize precision passing and timing routes that can struggle in hostile road environments. The Superdome's unique acoustics create one of the NFL's most intimidating home-field advantages, but this factor becomes exponentially more powerful when the Saints enter as underdogs. The crowd energy reaches fever pitch levels when their team is written off, creating an atmosphere that can rattle visiting favorites who expected a more manageable environment. Additionally, Sean Payton's coaching philosophy emphasized aggressive play-calling and creative game plans that caught opponents off-guard, particularly when those opponents may have overlooked preparation against a supposedly inferior team. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when the Saints are getting undervalued due to recent struggles or injury concerns rather than fundamental weaknesses. This trend matters most in primetime games or divisional matchups where emotional intensity peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as home underdog?

The New Orleans Saints have an outstanding 18-3-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an 85.7% ATS win rate in this specific situation.

Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Saints as home underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 63.6% ROI over this period. This exceptional return makes it one of the most profitable betting trends in the NFL.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Saints' 85.7% ATS rate as home underdogs is exceptionally rare and well above typical NFL trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.