The New Orleans Saints show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 22-20-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +0.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record22-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size42 games
ROI0.0%
Units Won0.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-2-00.0%-4.5%
20152-3-00.0%-23.6%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20192-4-00.0%-36.4%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20211-4-00.0%-61.8%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20242-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Saints' home performance against the spread reflects the complex dynamics of playing in one of the NFL's most intimidating environments. The Superdome's deafening crowd noise creates a significant advantage for New Orleans, particularly on third downs where opposing quarterbacks struggle with communication and snap counts. This atmospheric pressure often leads to inflated point spreads that fail to account for how the venue neutralizes superior talent from visiting teams. Sean Payton's offensive system historically thrived in the controlled dome environment, where precise timing routes and Drew Brees' quick release maximized the crowd's impact on opposing defenses. The Saints have consistently been better at home than their talent differential suggests, making them a frequent underdog that covers or a favorite that wins but doesn't dominate by expected margins. Recent coaching changes and roster turnover have created more volatility in home performances, as new systems take time to fully utilize the Superdome advantage. The venue remains a significant equalizer against more talented opponents, but struggles against well-coached teams that prepare effectively for crowd noise. This trend matters most when the Saints face divisional opponents who are familiar with the environment, or when they're catching points against playoff-caliber teams where the home field can flip expected outcomes.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as home games?

The New Orleans Saints have a 22-20-0 ATS (Against The Spread) record in home games from 2014-2024. This means they covered the spread in 22 games and failed to cover in 20 games, with no pushes.

Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as home games profitable?

Betting on the New Orleans Saints in home games has not been profitable, showing a 0.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their slightly positive ATS record, the returns have essentially broken even after accounting for betting juice/vig.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Saints' 52.4% ATS win rate at home is slightly above the typical 50% baseline you'd expect from random chance. However, this modest edge hasn't translated to profitability due to the standard betting commission charged by sportsbooks.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.