New Orleans Saints Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The New Orleans Saints show mixed results as away vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 7-7-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2024 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Saints' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from a perfect storm of competitive disadvantages that compound in these specific matchups. NFC South opponents know New Orleans intimately, having studied their tendencies twice yearly, which neutralizes the Saints' typical offensive creativity under Sean Payton's system and now Dennis Allen's approach. The psychological weight of division games creates additional pressure when already facing point spreads on the road, leading to conservative play-calling that fails to exploit the aggressive betting lines. New Orleans has historically relied on the Superdome's raucous atmosphere to elevate their performance, making them particularly vulnerable when that home-field advantage disappears in hostile division stadiums. Their recent defensive inconsistencies become magnified against familiar offensive coordinators who've had extensive time to identify weaknesses. The Saints often enter these games with inflated public perception from strong home showings, creating betting value that sharp money consistently exploits. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing when New Orleans faces division rivals coming off impressive home victories, as the market tends to overvalue their momentum. This trend carries the most weight in late-season divisional matchups where playoff implications intensify the psychological pressure and coaching familiarity reaches its peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The New Orleans Saints have a 7-7-0 ATS record when playing as away vs division rival from 2014-2024. This represents a 50% ATS win rate over 14 games.
Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Saints as away vs division rival is not profitable with a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the even ATS record, bettors would lose money due to juice/vig on losing bets.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Saints' 50% ATS rate is exactly at the theoretical break-even point, but the -4.5% ROI indicates underperformance compared to typical league expectations. Most successful betting situations require 52.4% or higher win rates to overcome sportsbook margins.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.