New Orleans Saints Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Saints in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the New Orleans Saints are just 7-17-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -44.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +44.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Saints' struggles as away favorites stem from their historically dome-dependent offensive identity and the psychological burden of road expectations. New Orleans built their offensive system around the controlled environment of the Superdome, where crowd noise amplifies their defensive advantage while providing a sterile passing environment for their precision aerial attack. When favored on the road, this comfort zone disappears, forcing the Saints to execute their intricate offensive schemes in hostile environments against teams with nothing to lose. The franchise's reliance on veteran leadership, particularly during the Drew Brees era, created a team culture built around routine and familiarity. Road favorites face the double challenge of performing in unfamiliar territory while carrying the weight of public expectation. Opponents playing at home against a favored Saints team typically elevate their intensity, knowing they're getting points against a respected franchise. This dynamic has consistently created value for contrarian bettors willing to back home underdogs. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Saints are road favorites against teams with strong home field advantages or desperate situations. This trend carries the most weight in divisional matchups and late-season games where home underdogs have playoff implications or spoiler motivations driving their performance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Saints's ATS record as away favorite?
The New Orleans Saints have a 7-17-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 29.2% of games. This represents a significant struggle to meet expectations when favored on the road.
Is betting on the New Orleans Saints as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Saints as away favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -44.3% ROI. This poor performance would result in substantial losses for bettors over the 2014-2024 period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the typical league average of around 50% ATS for away favorites. The Saints' 29.2% cover rate as road favorites represents one of the worst trends in this situation over the past decade.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.