The New England Patriots show mixed results as sunday games. Since 2014, they're 45-42-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record45-42-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size87 games
ROI-1.2%
Units Won-1.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-2-00.0%-4.5%
20153-5-00.0%-28.4%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20173-6-00.0%-36.4%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20206-4-00.0%+14.6%
20213-1-00.0%+43.2%
20223-5-00.0%-28.4%
20234-5-00.0%-15.2%
20246-6-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Patriots' mediocre Sunday performance against the spread reflects the unique challenges of being a consistently successful franchise in the NFL's most scrutinized time slot. Sunday games often feature the team's most anticipated matchups, where public perception and media narratives inflate their lines beyond their actual edge. The Belichick era Patriots were notorious for methodical, workmanlike victories that covered spreads in less glamorous spots but struggled to blow out opponents when the spotlight was brightest. New England's Sunday struggles also stem from their tendency to play conservatively with leads, particularly in nationally televised games where they faced heightened defensive preparation from opponents. Teams would spend extra time game-planning for Patriots Sunday showcases, often employing specific wrinkles designed to neutralize their systematic approach. The franchise's reputation for "doing their job" rather than running up scores frequently left bettors frustrated when late-game situations called for clock management over point accumulation. Smart bettors should be wary of backing New England as Sunday favorites, especially in games receiving significant media attention. This trend carries the most weight when the Patriots are laying more than a field goal on Sunday afternoon, where their conservative tendencies and opponents' elevated preparation create the perfect storm for underwhelming ATS results.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New England Patriots's ATS record as sunday games?

The New England Patriots have a 45-42-0 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.7% ATS win rate over 87 total games.

Is betting on the New England Patriots as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the New England Patriots in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -1.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread slightly more often than not, the negative return indicates losses when accounting for standard betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Patriots' 51.7% ATS win rate in Sunday games is slightly above the theoretical 50% break-even point but below the ~52.4% typically needed to overcome standard sportsbook margins. This performance is relatively average compared to league-wide ATS trends.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.