The New England Patriots show mixed results as on a 3+ game losing streak. Since 2014, they're 44-41-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record44-41-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size85 games
ROI-1.2%
Units Won-1.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20153-5-00.0%-28.4%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20173-6-00.0%-36.4%
20185-2-00.0%+36.4%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20206-4-00.0%+14.6%
20213-1-00.0%+43.2%
20223-5-00.0%-28.4%
20234-5-00.0%-15.2%
20246-6-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Patriots' struggles during extended losing streaks reflect a franchise built on precision and systematic execution that becomes increasingly fragmented when things go wrong. Bill Belichick's teams have historically thrived on situational football and game-to-game adjustments, but extended adversity exposes underlying roster limitations that coaching can only mask for so long. When New England falls into these streaks, it typically signals deeper issues with personnel rather than scheme - whether that's quarterback instability, offensive line deterioration, or defensive secondary breakdowns that compound week after week. The psychological component is equally significant. The Patriots' organizational culture has been predicated on winning expectations, and when those expectations aren't met over multiple games, the team often presses rather than executing fundamentally sound football. This manifests in uncharacteristic penalties, poor clock management, and conservative play-calling that fails to generate momentum shifts. The franchise's recent transition away from the Brady-Belichick dynasty has amplified these tendencies, as younger players lack the championship pedigree to weather adversity. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when New England's losing streak coincides with divisional matchups or primetime games, where the emotional weight of expectations creates additional pressure. This trend matters most during mid-season stretches when playoff positioning becomes critical and the team's championship window appears to be closing.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New England Patriots's ATS record as on a 3+ game losing streak?

The New England Patriots have a 44-41-0 ATS record when on a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents 85 total games with a 51.8% ATS cover rate.

Is betting on the New England Patriots as on a 3+ game losing streak profitable?

Betting on the Patriots during 3+ game losing streaks has not been profitable, showing a -1.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering at a slightly above-average rate, the negative ROI indicates losses over time.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Patriots' 51.8% ATS cover rate during losing streaks is slightly above the typical 50% break-even point. However, the -1.2% ROI suggests underperformance when accounting for betting juice and market efficiency.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.