New England Patriots Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the New England Patriots in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the New England Patriots hold a record of 17-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +35.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Patriots' exceptional performance as road underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing adversity and Bill Belichick's masterful game preparation. When facing the disrespect of being favored against, New England historically transforms into a more focused, disciplined unit. The team's veteran leadership and championship pedigree create a mentality where being counted out serves as motivation rather than pressure. Belichick's strategic brilliance shines brightest in these scenarios, as he crafts game plans specifically designed to exploit opponents who may be overconfident. The Patriots excel at controlling tempo and limiting explosive plays when playing with house money, often keeping games closer than the betting market anticipates. Their ability to execute in crucial moments - particularly in the fourth quarter - becomes amplified when expectations are lowered. The psychological edge cannot be understated. Road underdog situations allow the Patriots to play loose while their opponents feel the weight of expectation. This dynamic often leads to more conservative play-calling from favored teams, playing directly into New England's hands. This trend carries the most weight in divisional matchups and primetime games, where the Patriots' experience and preparation advantages are most pronounced against teams that may underestimate their resolve.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New England Patriots's ATS record as away underdog?
The New England Patriots have a 17-7-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 70.8% of these games.
Is betting on the New England Patriots as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Patriots as away underdogs has been highly profitable with a 35.2% ROI over this 10-year period. This represents excellent value despite their 0% straight-up win rate in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 70.8% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for away underdogs. The Patriots have consistently exceeded expectations when playing on the road as underdogs.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.