Minnesota Vikings vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Minnesota Vikings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Minnesota Vikings hold a record of 23-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +7.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2017 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Vikings' strong performance against non-conference opponents stems from their ability to exploit unfamiliarity and preparation advantages. When facing teams they don't regularly encounter, Minnesota benefits from having less predictable game film available to opponents, while their coaching staff can focus entirely on exploiting specific weaknesses without worrying about divisional familiarity working against them. Mike Zimmer's defensive schemes and now Kevin O'Connell's offensive creativity tend to catch non-conference opponents off-guard, particularly teams that haven't spent extensive time studying Minnesota's tendencies. The Vikings also historically perform better when they're not dealing with the emotional weight and strategic chess matches that come with divisional rivalries, allowing them to play more freely and execute their game plans without the psychological burden of recent history. Minnesota's roster construction, with its emphasis on versatile defensive backs and dynamic offensive weapons, creates matchup problems that non-conference opponents struggle to prepare for in a single week. Teams unfamiliar with Justin Jefferson's route-running nuances or the Vikings' defensive rotation patterns often find themselves a step behind. This trend carries the most weight early in interconference play cycles when coaching staffs have the least recent film to study and when Minnesota can maximize their preparation advantages.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Vikings's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Minnesota Vikings have a 23-18-0 ATS record when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 56.1% ATS win rate over 41 games.
Is betting on the Minnesota Vikings as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
Yes, betting on the Minnesota Vikings against non-conference opponents has been profitable with a 7.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 56.1% ATS win rate indicates consistent value against the spread in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Vikings' 56.1% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is above the typical NFL average of around 50%. Their 7.1% ROI demonstrates above-average profitability in these specific matchups.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.