The public often underestimates the Minnesota Vikings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Minnesota Vikings hold a record of 7-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +11.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record7-5-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size12 games
ROI+11.4%
Units Won+1.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Vikings' success as small underdogs stems from their ability to thrive in competitive matchups where they're slightly disrespected by oddsmakers. Minnesota has historically been a franchise that performs best when expectations are tempered, allowing their talent to shine without the pressure of being heavily favored. This sweet spot of +1 to +3 typically occurs against quality opponents where the Vikings can leverage their strong defensive schemes and explosive offensive playmakers. Minnesota's coaching staff has shown particular aptitude for game-planning when they're not expected to dominate. The Vikings often possess superior talent compared to what the small underdog status suggests, creating value opportunities when the market slightly undervalues their capabilities. Their defensive coordinator's ability to generate pressure and create turnovers becomes amplified in these tightly contested games where every possession matters. The psychological edge of playing with house money while still being competitive enough to win outright has served Minnesota well. Their veteran leadership and playoff-tested roster respond positively to the slight chip-on-the-shoulder mentality that comes with being small underdogs. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime matchups where Minnesota's talent level often exceeds their underdog status, particularly when facing teams with similar records in must-win scenarios.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Vikings's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Minnesota Vikings have a 7-5-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents a 58.3% ATS win rate over 12 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Minnesota Vikings as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Minnesota Vikings as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been profitable with an 11.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, the data shows a 0.0% straight-up win rate in these games.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Vikings' 58.3% ATS win rate as small underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. Their 11.4% ROI also exceeds what most teams achieve in similar situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.