Minnesota Vikings Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Minnesota Vikings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Minnesota Vikings hold a record of 11-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +23.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Vikings' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their tendency to elevate their play against superior competition. Minnesota has historically thrived in the underdog role, where external pressure diminishes and players can focus on executing game plans without the weight of expectations. This psychological freedom allows their talented roster to perform closer to their ceiling rather than playing tight in favored situations. Strategically, the Vikings benefit from having a coaching staff that excels at game-planning for specific opponents when given extra preparation time. Large underdog spots often come against elite teams, forcing Minnesota to deploy creative schemes and tactical adjustments that catch opponents off-guard. Their defensive coordinator typically implements exotic blitz packages and coverage schemes that disrupt high-powered offenses expecting routine execution. The team's veteran leadership core has consistently demonstrated an ability to rally teammates when facing adversity, creating a locker room mentality that embraces the challenge of proving doubters wrong. This mental toughness translates directly to competitive performances that either cover spreads outright or keep games closer than anticipated. This trend carries the most weight when Minnesota faces playoff-caliber opponents during meaningful stretches of the season, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive balance regardless of perceived talent gaps.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Vikings's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Minnesota Vikings have an 11-6-0 ATS record as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 64.7% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Minnesota Vikings as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Minnesota Vikings as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 23.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Vikings' 64.7% ATS win rate as large underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 23.5% ROI indicates exceptional value in these betting situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.