The data suggests caution when backing the Minnesota Vikings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Minnesota Vikings are just 17-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.3%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record17-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size35 games
ROI-7.3%
Units Won-2.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20153-3-00.0%-4.5%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20172-2-00.0%-4.5%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-3-00.0%-52.3%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20222-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20240-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Vikings' mediocre performance after losses stems from their historically volatile organizational culture and tendency toward emotional swings. Minnesota has long been a franchise that rides momentum waves rather than maintaining steady psychological equilibrium, which creates unpredictable responses to adversity. When facing the pressure to bounce back, the Vikings often overcorrect tactically, leading to forced plays and abandoning what worked in previous games. This pattern reflects deeper issues with leadership consistency throughout different coaching regimes. The franchise has cycled through various offensive philosophies, making it difficult to establish reliable bounce-back protocols. Players often press too hard individually rather than trusting systematic approaches, particularly on offense where skill position players try to make spectacular plays instead of executing fundamentals. The slight negative return suggests books have accurately priced this mediocrity, making Vikings post-loss games essentially coin flips with house edge built in. Bettors should focus on specific matchup advantages rather than assuming Minnesota will respond predictably to defeat. This trend matters most during divisional games where emotional stakes run highest, and when facing teams with strong defensive coordinators who can exploit the Vikings' tendency to abandon patience after struggling performances.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Vikings's ATS record as after a loss?

The Minnesota Vikings have an ATS record of 17-18-0 after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.6% cover rate in games following defeats.

Is betting on the Minnesota Vikings as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Minnesota Vikings after a loss has not been profitable, with a -7.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Vikings in bounce-back spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Vikings' 48.6% ATS cover rate after losses is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. Their -7.3% ROI indicates they perform worse than average in bounce-back situations compared to typical NFL team performance.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.