Miami Dolphins As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Miami Dolphins hold a record of 23-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +22.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dolphins' success as underdogs stems from their organizational tendency to play with house money when expectations are low. Miami has historically thrived in the underdog role because it removes the pressure that often accompanies being favored, allowing their talent to play more freely. The franchise has consistently attracted skilled position players who excel in uptempo situations, and when they're catching points, these athletes can exploit defensive schemes designed to contain rather than attack. Miami's coaching staffs over this period have shown a knack for game-planning specifically for perceived stronger opponents, often implementing creative offensive wrinkles and aggressive defensive packages they wouldn't typically deploy against weaker competition. The team's geographic advantage also plays a role - visiting teams often struggle with South Florida's humidity and travel logistics, while the Dolphins feed off home crowd energy when they're not expected to win. The psychological element cannot be understated. Miami players have repeatedly demonstrated they perform better when proving doubters wrong rather than living up to expectations. This creates a dangerous combination for opposing teams that may overlook preparation or assume victory is inevitable. This trend matters most in divisional games and primetime spots where the Dolphins face quality opponents with inflated public perception.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as as underdog?
The Miami Dolphins have a 23-13-0 record against the spread (ATS) when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 63.9% ATS win rate in underdog situations.
Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Miami Dolphins as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 22.0% return on investment (ROI). This indicates consistent value when backing Miami in underdog spots over this 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Dolphins' 63.9% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 22.0% ROI also exceeds what most teams deliver in underdog situations, making them an exceptionally strong underdog bet.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.