The data suggests caution when backing the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Miami Dolphins are just 35-47-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record35-47-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size82 games
ROI-18.5%
Units Won-15.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20152-6-00.0%-52.3%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20173-8-00.0%-47.9%
20183-6-00.0%-36.4%
20195-4-00.0%+6.1%
20206-2-00.0%+43.2%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20222-5-00.0%-45.5%
20233-5-00.0%-28.4%
20243-3-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Dolphins' Sunday struggles stem from a combination of organizational instability and strategic mismatches that have plagued the franchise for over a decade. Miami's frequent coaching changes and quarterback carousel have created an identity crisis that becomes most apparent during primetime Sunday matchups when preparation and execution are magnified. The team has consistently struggled with situational football, particularly in late-game scenarios where coaching decisions and player composure matter most. Miami's offensive philosophy under various regimes has often relied on speed and finesse, which tends to break down against physical, well-prepared defenses that have extra time to game plan. Sunday games typically feature better competition and more focused defensive schemes, exposing the Dolphins' lack of a consistent power running game and their struggles in short-yardage situations. The team's home field advantage at Hard Rock Stadium has also been inconsistent, failing to provide the boost needed against quality opponents. The psychological factor cannot be ignored - Miami has developed a reputation for inconsistency that seems to manifest most clearly in these showcase games. Players and coaches appear to press when expectations are highest, leading to uncharacteristic mistakes and conservative play-calling. This trend matters most when Miami is favored at home against divisional opponents, where the combination of pressure and familiarity creates the perfect storm for underperformance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as sunday games?

The Miami Dolphins have a 35-47-0 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This represents a 42.7% ATS win rate over 82 games.

Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Miami Dolphins in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -18.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost approximately 18.5 cents for every dollar wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Dolphins' 42.7% ATS win rate in Sunday games is well below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their -18.5% ROI indicates significantly worse performance than break-even betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.