Miami Dolphins Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Miami Dolphins hold a record of 23-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +22.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dolphins' success as primetime underdogs stems from their ability to elevate their play when expectations are lowest and the spotlight is brightest. Miami has historically thrived in the underdog mentality, particularly during the franchise's periods of transition and rebuilding. The team's coaching staff has consistently prepared well for nationally televised games, understanding that primetime exposure provides an opportunity to showcase talent and compete against higher-profile opponents. Miami's defensive schemes tend to be more aggressive and creative in primetime spots, often catching favored teams off guard with exotic blitz packages and coverage rotations. The Dolphins have also benefited from playing many of these games at home in South Florida, where the late-season weather advantage and crowd energy create additional challenges for visiting favorites. The franchise's ability to find motivation as underdogs reflects a organizational culture that responds well to adversity. The psychological edge of having nothing to lose while playing spoiler has served Miami particularly well against division rivals and playoff-bound teams who may be looking ahead or playing conservatively to avoid injuries. This trend carries the most weight when Miami faces AFC East opponents in primetime during the final month of the season, especially when playoff implications favor the opposition.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Miami Dolphins have a 23-13-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This means they have covered the spread in 23 out of 36 primetime games when they were the underdog.
Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Miami Dolphins as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 22.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 63.9% ATS win rate (23-13) significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Dolphins' 63.9% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 22.0% ROI indicates exceptional value in this specific betting situation over the past decade.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.