Miami Dolphins Home Games Betting Trend

Miami's home struggles against the spread stem from a perfect storm of organizational instability and inflated market expectations. The Dolphins have cycled through multiple coaching staffs and quarterback changes during this period, creating inconsistent game-planning and execution that particularly hurts when oddsmakers expect home-field advantage to provide a boost. The franchise's tendency to generate preseason hype followed by midseason collapses has trained the betting market to overvalue Miami at home, where casual money flows heavily toward the popular pick. The team's offensive identity crisis compounds these issues. Miami's attempts to establish a ground game in their humid home environment often clash with their personnel strengths, leading to predictable offensive struggles that sharp bettors exploit. The Dolphins also show concerning patterns of poor situational football at home, particularly in red zone efficiency and third-down conversions, suggesting preparation and focus issues that plague teams with unstable leadership structures. Savvy bettors should target Miami home games when they're favored by more than a field goal, as the market consistently overrates their ability to cover meaningful spreads. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and primetime games, where the spotlight amplifies Miami's tendency to underperform expectations.