Miami Dolphins Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Miami Dolphins are just 7-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -48.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +48.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dolphins' struggles as road favorites stem from a franchise that has historically lacked the mental fortitude and organizational consistency required to handle expectations away from home. Miami's offensive identity has long been built around finesse passing attacks that struggle against hostile environments, where communication breaks down and timing routes become compromised. The team's reliance on precise execution rather than physical dominance makes them particularly vulnerable when facing motivated underdogs playing with house money. Miami's coaching instability over the past decade has created a culture where players haven't developed the championship mentality needed to close out games as favorites on the road. The franchise has cycled through multiple offensive coordinators and head coaches, preventing the development of a strong road identity. Additionally, the Dolphins often find themselves favored against teams they should beat on paper, but lack the killer instinct to cover spreads when opponents have nothing to lose. The psychological weight of being expected to win while playing in unfamiliar territory has consistently proven too much for Miami rosters that are better suited as underdogs with chip-on-shoulder motivation. This trend matters most when Miami faces division rivals on the road or travels to cold weather cities late in the season, where their South Florida-based roster historically wilts under pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as away favorite?
The Miami Dolphins have a 7-19-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 26.9% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Miami Dolphins as away favorites is highly unprofitable with a -48.6% ROI. A $100 bet on each game would have resulted in nearly $1,300 in losses over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as away favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Dolphins' 26.9% cover rate as away favorites is exceptionally poor compared to league norms.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.