Miami Dolphins Away Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Miami Dolphins are just 16-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -27.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +27.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2016 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Dolphins' poor road ATS performance stems from their historically inconsistent organizational culture and strategic limitations that become magnified in hostile environments. Miami has struggled with coaching turnover and roster instability over the past decade, creating a franchise that lacks the mental toughness and systematic preparation needed to excel away from home. The team's offensive schemes have often relied on timing-based passing attacks and quick-strike capabilities that require precise execution - elements that deteriorate significantly when facing crowd noise and unfamiliar surroundings. Miami's defensive units have shown particular vulnerability on the road, where communication breakdowns in coverage schemes become more frequent. The franchise's tendency to build around skill position players rather than establishing dominant trenches has left them exposed when game scripts don't unfold favorably, forcing them into one-dimensional situations that road environments exploit mercilessly. The psychological factor cannot be understated - Miami teams have historically shown a pattern of playing down to competition level, particularly in road spots where external motivation should theoretically elevate performance. This suggests deeper systemic issues with preparation and mental approach. Bettors should be most cautious backing Miami as road favorites against divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds the kind of trap-game scenarios that have consistently burned the franchise's backers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as away games?
The Miami Dolphins have a 16-26-0 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 38.1% ATS win rate over 42 total away games.
Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as away games profitable?
No, betting on the Miami Dolphins in away games has not been profitable, showing a -27.3% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 27 cents for every dollar wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Dolphins' 38.1% ATS win rate in away games is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their performance ranks among the worst in the NFL for away game ATS betting over this period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.