The data suggests caution when backing the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Miami Dolphins are just 19-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record19-22-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size41 games
ROI-11.5%
Units Won-4.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20161-2-00.0%-36.4%
20172-6-00.0%-52.3%
20182-4-00.0%-36.4%
20193-0-00.0%+90.9%
20203-1-00.0%+43.2%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20221-4-00.0%-61.8%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20242-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Dolphins' struggles after losses stem from a combination of organizational instability and coaching philosophy that has plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. Miami has cycled through multiple head coaches and offensive coordinators since 2014, creating an environment where players lack the consistent messaging and adjustments needed to bounce back effectively after setbacks. This coaching carousel has particularly impacted their ability to make necessary halftime and week-to-week corrections, as different regimes have implemented vastly different systems and approaches to adversity management. Miami's roster construction has also contributed to this pattern, as they've often relied heavily on skill position players who can disappear when game scripts don't favor them. When facing motivated opponents coming off wins, the Dolphins have consistently struggled to match that intensity level, particularly in road environments where their offensive weapons become less effective. The team's defensive inconsistencies have compounded these issues, as they've rarely been able to keep games close enough for their offensive playmakers to operate in favorable situations. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Miami as road favorites after losses, where this trend has been most pronounced and the market often overvalues their talent advantage.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as after a loss?

The Miami Dolphins have gone 19-22-0 against the spread (ATS) when playing after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.3% ATS win rate over 41 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Miami Dolphins after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -11.5% return on investment (ROI). This negative ROI indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Miami in bounce-back spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Dolphins' 46.3% ATS win rate after losses is below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their -11.5% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when trying to bounce back from defeats.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.