The data suggests caution when backing the Miami Dolphins in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive losses, the Miami Dolphins are just 35-46-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record35-46-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size81 games
ROI-17.5%
Units Won-14.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20152-6-00.0%-52.3%
20165-4-00.0%+6.1%
20173-8-00.0%-47.9%
20183-6-00.0%-36.4%
20195-4-00.0%+6.1%
20206-2-00.0%+43.2%
20212-3-00.0%-23.6%
20222-5-00.0%-45.5%
20233-5-00.0%-28.4%
20243-3-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Dolphins' struggles after consecutive losses reflect a franchise that has lacked consistent leadership and identity throughout much of the past decade. Miami's organizational instability, with frequent coaching changes and quarterback carousel, has created a culture where adversity compounds rather than galvanizes the team. When facing back-to-back defeats, the Dolphins have historically shown poor situational awareness and game management, often making desperate decisions that lead to larger deficits against the spread. The team's geographic location and fan base dynamics also play a role. Hard Rock Stadium frequently fills with opposing fans, particularly when northern teams visit, creating an atmosphere that can deflate a struggling Miami squad. The Dolphins have also shown a tendency to abandon their running game too quickly when trailing, forcing inexperienced or inconsistent quarterbacks into high-pressure passing situations where they're overmatched. From a personnel standpoint, Miami's defense has often been built around speed rather than physicality, making them vulnerable to power running games when their confidence is already shaken. Teams recognize this weakness and exploit it after the Dolphins have shown vulnerability in previous weeks. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and prime-time games, where the pressure amplifies Miami's tendency to fold under adversity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Dolphins's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive losses?

The Miami Dolphins have a 35-46-0 ATS record when playing after 2+ consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 43.2% ATS win rate over 81 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Miami Dolphins as after 2+ consecutive losses profitable?

No, betting on the Miami Dolphins after 2+ consecutive losses has not been profitable, with a -17.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Miami in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with Miami covering just 43.2% of the time. The -17.5% ROI suggests Miami consistently fails to meet betting expectations when trying to bounce back from losing streaks.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.