The Los Angeles Rams show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 16-16-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record16-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size32 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-1.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-2-00.0%-36.4%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20174-1-00.0%+52.7%
20183-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20202-4-00.0%-36.4%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20231-4-00.0%-61.8%
20240-2-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rams' mediocre home performance against the spread reflects the unique pressures of playing in Los Angeles, where sky-high expectations often create inflated lines that favor public perception over actual value. Unlike traditional NFL markets where home field advantage translates to genuine betting edges, the Rams operate in an entertainment capital where casual money consistently pushes spreads beyond their true market value. This dynamic became particularly pronounced after their Super Bowl victory, as oddsmakers began factoring in the franchise's elevated profile and star power rather than fundamental home field metrics. The team's recent struggles at SoFi Stadium also stem from their aggressive roster construction philosophy, which prioritizes expensive veteran talent over depth. This approach leaves them vulnerable to key injuries and creates inconsistent performances when facing well-prepared opponents who've had extra time to game plan. The Rams' high-octane offensive system, while explosive, tends to produce volatile results that don't align well with the consistent cover rates bettors need for long-term profitability. Smart bettors should target Rams home games when they're favored by more than a touchdown against quality opponents, as these scenarios typically represent the peak of public overvaluation. This trend matters most during primetime games and playoff races when media attention amplifies the disconnect between perception and reality.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Rams's ATS record as home games?

The Los Angeles Rams have gone 16-16-0 against the spread (ATS) in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly even record with no pushes over the 10-year period.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Rams as home games profitable?

No, betting on the Los Angeles Rams at home has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% return on investment (ROI). Despite the even 16-16 ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to the standard -110 betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rams' 50% home ATS win rate is slightly below the typical league average of around 52-53% for home teams. Their -4.5% ROI also underperforms compared to most profitable betting trends.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.