Los Angeles Chargers Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Los Angeles Chargers hold a record of 7-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +11.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' success as medium underdogs stems from their tendency to play up or down to competition level, a characteristic that has defined this franchise for years. When facing teams they're expected to lose to by a touchdown or less, Los Angeles often benefits from reduced pressure and looser game planning that allows their talent to shine through. The team's coaching staff historically performs well when they can embrace an underdog mentality rather than managing expectations as favorites. Los Angeles possesses the type of explosive offensive weapons and opportunistic defense that can steal games through big plays, making them particularly dangerous when opponents might overlook them. Their special teams units have also been consistently above average, providing the field position advantages that often determine close games. The Chargers' roster construction favors variance over consistency, which works in their favor when books set lines assuming they'll play to their floor rather than their ceiling. Smart bettors should target the Chargers as medium underdogs specifically in divisional games and against teams coming off emotional victories, where motivation gaps become most pronounced and Los Angeles can capitalize on opponents taking them lightly.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Los Angeles Chargers have a 7-5-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 58.3% ATS win rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Chargers as medium underdogs has been profitable with an 11.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, they've consistently covered the spread in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Chargers' 58.3% ATS win rate as medium underdogs is above the typical league average of around 50% for this betting situation. Their 11.4% ROI indicates strong value compared to standard expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.