Los Angeles Chargers Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Los Angeles Chargers hold a record of 8-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +17.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' success as home underdogs following victories stems from a combination of market inefficiency and organizational characteristics that create value opportunities. When Los Angeles wins on the road or against quality opponents, oddsmakers often overcompensate by making them underdogs at home, particularly against perceived stronger teams. This creates a disconnect between public perception and actual team capability. The psychological element plays a crucial role here. Teams coming off wins typically maintain elevated confidence and momentum, while the underdog role removes pressure and allows players to perform more freely. The Chargers have historically thrived in these low-expectation scenarios, particularly at home where crowd support can amplify the underdog mentality. Their coaching staff has also shown a tendency to game-plan more aggressively when not favored, leading to creative offensive schemes that catch opponents off-guard. From a strategic standpoint, teams often overlook the Chargers after they've already proven themselves with a recent victory, assuming the previous win was an anomaly rather than a sign of improved play. This creates preparation gaps that Los Angeles can exploit. This trend matters most when the Chargers are coming off road victories or wins against divisional rivals, as these scenarios typically generate the strongest market overreactions and create the most valuable betting opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Los Angeles Chargers have an 8-5-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 61.5% ATS win rate in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Chargers as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 17.5% ROI. Despite covering the spread in 8 of 13 games, the positive ROI indicates strong betting value in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 61.5% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The 17.5% ROI also exceeds standard profitability thresholds, making this a historically strong betting trend.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.