The Los Angeles Chargers show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 23-21-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record23-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size44 games
ROI-0.2%
Units Won-0.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20196-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-4-00.0%-61.8%
20213-2-00.0%+14.6%
20223-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-5-00.0%-68.2%
20243-1-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Chargers' mediocre home ATS performance reflects the franchise's unique challenges with establishing a true home-field advantage. After relocating from San Diego to Los Angeles in 2017, the team has struggled to cultivate a loyal fanbase at their temporary venues, often playing in stadiums filled with opposing fans. This lack of crowd support eliminates the typical psychological boost that home teams rely on, particularly in crucial moments when crowd noise can disrupt opposing offenses or energize the home squad. The Chargers' coaching staff has historically been conservative in their approach to game management, often playing not to lose rather than capitalizing on home-field opportunities. This tendency becomes magnified at home where expectations run higher, leading to predictable play-calling that sharp bettors can exploit. The team's injury-prone nature also plays a role, as key players like quarterback Justin Herbert or pass rusher Khalil Mack missing time creates uncertainty that oddsmakers struggle to properly price. Smart bettors should focus on fading the Chargers at home when they're favored by more than a field goal, particularly against divisional opponents who travel well and neutralize any remaining crowd advantage. This trend matters most in primetime games where the pressure and spotlight amplify the team's historical tendency to underperform relative to expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as home games?

The Los Angeles Chargers have a 23-21-0 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 52.3% ATS win rate over 44 total home games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as home games profitable?

Betting on the Chargers at home has not been profitable, showing a -0.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread slightly more than half the time, the negative return indicates losses after accounting for betting juice.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Chargers' 52.3% home ATS rate is slightly above the theoretical 50% baseline but below the ~52.4% typically needed to break even after sportsbook commissions. This performance is roughly average compared to other NFL teams' home ATS records.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.