Los Angeles Chargers As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Los Angeles Chargers are just 17-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -29.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +29.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise-defining pattern of playing down to their competition, a psychological trap that has plagued them for decades. This team consistently enters games with inflated public perception based on talent rather than execution, creating betting lines that don't reflect their tendency to make games closer than they should be. The Chargers possess elite individual talent, particularly on offense, which draws heavy public money when they're favored, but their coaching staff has historically failed to capitalize on talent advantages against weaker opponents. Los Angeles operates with a peculiar brand of inconsistency that manifests most clearly when expectations are highest. They've built a reputation for spectacular wins against quality opponents while simultaneously dropping winnable games against inferior teams. This creates a dangerous betting dynamic where the public consistently overvalues their chances based on highlight-reel performances rather than situational reliability. The franchise's late-game management issues compound this problem, as they frequently allow backdoor covers or outright upsets through poor clock management and defensive breakdowns. Smart bettors should approach Chargers favorites with extreme caution, particularly in divisional games or against teams with nothing to lose, where their tendency to underperform expectations reaches its peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as as favorite?
The Los Angeles Chargers have a 17-29-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 37% of games. This represents one of the poorest ATS performances for favorites in the NFL during this period.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Chargers as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -29.4% ROI from 2014-2024. A $100 bet on the Chargers every time they were favored would have resulted in approximately $29.40 in losses per bet.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, where favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Chargers' 37% ATS win rate as favorites ranks among the worst in the NFL over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.