Los Angeles Chargers Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Chargers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Los Angeles Chargers are just 2-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -68.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +68.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Chargers' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and organizational inconsistency that has plagued the franchise for years. When coming off defeats, this team historically lacks the mental fortitude to bounce back in hostile environments while simultaneously carrying the pressure of being favored. The psychological weight of expectations compounds their existing road woes, creating a perfect storm for underperformance. Los Angeles has consistently shown an inability to execute game plans away from home when dealing with the emotional aftermath of losses. Their coaching staff has struggled to prepare the team mentally for these situations, often appearing flat or overcompensating with overly aggressive strategies that backfire. The franchise's culture of close losses and blown leads has created a pattern where confidence evaporates quickly when things don't go according to plan on the road. The most telling aspect is how oddsmakers continue to overvalue the Chargers in these spots, creating consistent betting value for sharp money to fade them. This trend becomes particularly exploitable when the Chargers are road favorites of three points or less after divisional losses, where the emotional impact is amplified and the line represents minimal respect for their opponent's home-field advantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Chargers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Los Angeles Chargers have a 2-10-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 16.7% ATS win rate in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Chargers as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Chargers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -68.2% ROI. Bettors would have lost significant money consistently backing the Chargers in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS in standard situations. The Chargers' 16.7% rate in this spot represents one of the worst situational trends in the NFL.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.