Las Vegas Raiders As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Las Vegas Raiders hold a record of 26-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $11 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2018 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raiders' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as perennial outsiders who thrive when expectations are low. This franchise has cultivated a culture of defiance dating back to Al Davis's "Just Win Baby" mentality, creating players who respond with extra intensity when disrespected by oddsmakers. The team's recent coaching changes and roster turnover have actually reinforced this underdog identity, as new leadership groups often rally around proving doubters wrong. Las Vegas benefits significantly from their unpredictable offensive approach when facing superior opponents. Coordinators tend to open up the playbook and take calculated risks against favored teams, knowing conservative game plans rarely work when talent gaps exist. The Raiders' ability to generate explosive plays through their receiving corps creates the variance needed to cover spreads against better teams, while their improved defensive schemes under recent coordinators have kept games closer than public perception suggests. The psychological edge becomes most pronounced in primetime games and divisional matchups where the Raiders feel slighted by betting markets. Bettors should target Las Vegas as road underdogs of 3-7 points, particularly against playoff-contending teams where the motivation gap becomes most apparent and the spread inflation often exceeds the actual talent differential.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as as underdog?
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 26-13-0 ATS record as underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 66.7% of games when not favored.
Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Raiders as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI over this period. Their strong ATS performance as underdogs makes them a valuable betting opportunity.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Raiders' 66.7% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for underdog ATS performance. This represents one of the stronger underdog trends in the NFL during this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.