The public often underestimates the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Las Vegas Raiders hold a record of 26-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $11 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record26-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size39 games
ROI+27.3%
Units Won+10.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20154-1-00.0%+52.7%
20161-0-00.0%+90.9%
20175-1-00.0%+59.1%
20183-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20202-2-00.0%-4.5%
20212-4-00.0%-36.4%
20221-0-00.0%+90.9%
20235-1-00.0%+59.1%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Raiders' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational DNA and the unique dynamics of nationally televised games. This franchise has always thrived on an underdog mentality, dating back to Al Davis's "Just Win Baby" philosophy that embraced being the NFL's outlaws. When thrust into the spotlight as underdogs, the Raiders tap into this rebellious identity, playing with the chip-on-shoulder mentality that has defined successful teams throughout their history. Primetime games often feature lookahead spots for favored teams, particularly when facing a Raiders squad that opponents may underestimate. The Raiders' coaching staff has historically excelled at game-planning for these showcase moments, knowing they have extra preparation time and national attention to motivate players who might otherwise struggle with consistency during regular Sunday afternoon games. The psychological edge becomes even sharper when you consider how primetime underdogs generally benefit from public betting patterns. Casual bettors gravitate toward favorites in nationally televised games, inflating lines and creating value for contrarian bettors backing the dog. This trend carries the most weight when the Raiders are moderate underdogs (3-7 points) in primetime divisional matchups, where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of perceived talent gaps.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Las Vegas Raiders have a 26-13-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 66.7% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Raiders as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams struggle to maintain above 52.4% ATS needed to break even. The Raiders' 66.7% ATS rate in this situation is exceptionally strong.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.