Las Vegas Raiders Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Raiders' abysmal performance as large favorites stems from a franchise culture that has historically struggled with consistency and mental preparation. This organization has long been characterized by volatile coaching changes, roster instability, and an inability to maintain focus against perceived inferior opponents. When installed as significant favorites, the Raiders often display the classic symptoms of a team that lacks the disciplined infrastructure necessary to dominate weaker competition. Las Vegas tends to play down to their competition level, particularly when facing teams with nothing to lose. Their defensive schemes frequently become predictable against desperate opponents willing to take risks, while their offensive approach often grows conservative when protecting leads. The franchise's transient nature in recent years - from Oakland to Las Vegas, coupled with frequent front office turnover - has created an environment where players struggle to develop the killer instinct required to cover large spreads consistently. The psychological burden of heavy expectations appears to weigh heavily on this roster, which has historically performed better as underdogs when external pressure is reduced. Bettors should strongly consider fading the Raiders when they're laying more than a touchdown, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparity. This trend matters most during prime-time games and late-season contests when playoff implications amplify pressure.