Las Vegas Raiders Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Las Vegas Raiders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Las Vegas Raiders are just 3-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -66.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +66.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raiders' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of organizational instability and psychological fragility that has plagued the franchise for over a decade. Las Vegas has consistently lacked the mental toughness required to bounce back from defeats while simultaneously handling the pressure of being favored away from home. This creates a perfect storm where the team enters hostile environments already questioning themselves, making them vulnerable to motivated underdogs who smell blood in the water. The franchise's coaching carousel and frequent roster turnover have prevented the development of a resilient team culture. When facing adversity on the road after a loss, the Raiders often lack the veteran leadership and systematic approach needed to execute under pressure. Their tendency to abandon game plans early when things go wrong becomes magnified in these spots, as the weight of expectations compounds their existing self-doubt. The psychological burden of being road favorites while nursing fresh wounds from a previous loss exposes the Raiders' fundamental lack of championship DNA. Teams with winning cultures use the favorite label as motivation; the Raiders seem crushed by it. This trend carries the most weight when the Raiders are coming off divisional losses or games where they surrendered significant leads, as these scenarios amplify their confidence issues exponentially.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Las Vegas Raiders's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 3-14-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 17.6% ATS win rate over 17 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Las Vegas Raiders as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Raiders as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -66.3% ROI. This means bettors would lose approximately 66 cents for every dollar wagered on this trend.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Raiders' 17.6% ATS rate in this spot is among the worst situational trends in the NFL.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.