The public often underestimates the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Kansas City Chiefs hold a record of 20-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +6.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record20-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size36 games
ROI+6.1%
Units Won+2.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20162-2-00.0%-4.5%
20170-2-00.0%-100.0%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20190-2-00.0%-100.0%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20215-1-00.0%+59.1%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20233-3-00.0%-4.5%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Chiefs' modest performance against the spread following victories stems largely from their explosive offensive capabilities creating inflated public expectations. When Kansas City wins, particularly in dominant fashion, oddsmakers and the betting public often overreact to their high-octane passing attack led by Patrick Mahomes. This creates situations where the Chiefs become overvalued in their next outing, as casual bettors chase the excitement of their previous performance. Andy Reid's coaching philosophy also plays a role in this trend. Reid is known for his conservative approach when holding leads and his tendency to experiment with different personnel packages and play calls when the team is riding high. This can lead to slower starts or less aggressive gameplay in follow-up games, especially against teams the Chiefs are heavily favored against. The team's championship pedigree sometimes breeds a subtle complacency that prevents them from covering large spreads consistently. The psychological factor of success can work against Kansas City in betting markets. After impressive wins, the Chiefs often face opponents with extra motivation while dealing with the challenge of maintaining peak intensity week after week. This trend matters most when the Chiefs are coming off statement victories against quality opponents and face road favorites of seven points or more in their subsequent game.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kansas City Chiefs's ATS record as after a win?

The Kansas City Chiefs have a 20-16-0 ATS record when playing after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55.6% ATS win rate over 36 games.

Is betting on the Kansas City Chiefs as after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Kansas City Chiefs after a win has been profitable with a 6.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 20-16 ATS record indicates they've covered the spread more often than not in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Chiefs' 55.6% ATS win rate after wins is above the typical 50% expectation and league average. Their 6.1% ROI also suggests above-average performance compared to most teams in similar situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.