The public often underestimates the Jacksonville Jaguars in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Jacksonville Jaguars hold a record of 25-12-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +29.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $11 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record25-12-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size37 games
ROI+29.0%
Units Won+10.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20155-2-00.0%+36.4%
20164-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20193-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20242-2-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jaguars' success as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational tendency to rise to marquee occasions when expectations are lowest. Jacksonville has historically been a franchise that performs better when playing with house money, free from the pressure that comes with being favored. The primetime spotlight often catches opponents overlooking a Jaguars team that may have struggled in recent weeks, creating value opportunities for sharp bettors. Jacksonville's defensive identity has been the driving force behind their primetime underdog success. When the Jaguars defense shows up on national television, they've consistently made life difficult for favored opponents who may have game-planned around exploiting perceived weaknesses. The team's ability to generate turnovers and create short fields for their offense becomes amplified in these high-stakes environments. The franchise's boom-or-bust nature actually works in their favor as underdogs, as their ceiling remains high enough to compete with elite teams on any given night. When motivation aligns with execution, Jacksonville has proven capable of outplaying their odds. This trend carries the most weight when the Jaguars are catching significant points against division rivals or playoff-caliber teams in primetime slots, particularly when coming off disappointing performances that may have inflated the spread.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Jacksonville Jaguars's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 25-12-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 67.6% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 29.0% ROI. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams struggle ATS as primetime underdogs. The Jaguars' 67.6% ATS rate and 29% ROI indicate exceptional value in this specific betting situation.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.