Jacksonville Jaguars Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend

The Jaguars' success as large underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a franchise that thrives when expectations are lowest. Jacksonville has historically been most dangerous when written off completely, as the pressure to perform evaporates and players can focus on execution rather than living up to inflated expectations. This psychological freedom allows their defensive playmakers to take more risks and create game-changing turnovers, while their offense operates with the aggressive mentality of having nothing to lose. Strategically, Jacksonville's coaching staff has shown a pattern of installing simplified, high-execution game plans when facing superior opponents. Rather than trying to match firepower, they focus on controlling tempo, winning field position battles, and capitalizing on opponent mistakes. The team's defensive foundation, even during rebuilding years, has consistently kept them competitive against elite offenses that may overlook preparation against a perceived inferior opponent. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Jacksonville's large underdog value often coincides with road games against playoff contenders who may be looking ahead or dealing with short preparation windows. This trend carries the most weight in December and January when playoff-bound teams face the Jaguars in what appears to be a "get right" spot but becomes a trap game.