Jacksonville Jaguars Away Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Jacksonville Jaguars show mixed results as away underdog after a win. Since 2014, they're 5-5-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jaguars' mediocre performance as road underdogs following victories reflects a franchise historically plagued by inconsistency and emotional volatility. Jacksonville has long struggled with the psychological challenge of maintaining focus after positive momentum, particularly when facing the hostile environment of away games where they're not expected to compete. This pattern suggests a team culture that hasn't fully developed the mental toughness required to build on success systematically. The franchise's organizational instability over the past decade has contributed to this trend, with frequent coaching changes and roster turnover preventing the development of a consistent identity that travels well. When Jacksonville does win, they often face opponents who view them as vulnerable despite recent success, creating line value that the Jaguars fail to capitalize on due to preparation issues or overconfidence. The slightly negative ROI indicates that while Jacksonville covers at an average rate in these spots, they're not providing meaningful value to bettors who back them. The small sample size makes this trend less reliable for betting purposes, but it does highlight the team's ongoing struggle with road performance following positive results. This trend matters most when Jacksonville faces divisional opponents on the road after beating quality competition, as emotional letdowns tend to be amplified in familiar matchups.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Jacksonville Jaguars's ATS record as away underdog after a win?
The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone 5-5-0 against the spread as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 50% ATS cover rate over 10 games in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as away underdog after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as away underdogs after a win has not been profitable. Despite the even 5-5 ATS record, bettors would have experienced a -4.5% ROI, indicating consistent losses due to betting juice/vigorish.
How does this compare to the league average?
This trend shows below-average performance compared to typical NFL betting expectations. The 0% win rate combined with negative ROI suggests the Jaguars have struggled to exceed expectations in this spot, making it an unfavorable betting situation historically.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.