Jacksonville Jaguars After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Jacksonville Jaguars in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Jacksonville Jaguars are just 13-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -27.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +27.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jaguars' struggles after victories stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the consistency and leadership structure necessary to build momentum from positive results. Jacksonville's organizational instability, with frequent coaching changes and front office turnover since 2014, has created an environment where players struggle to maintain focus and preparation standards following success. This psychological letdown is amplified by a roster that has often featured young, inexperienced players who haven't developed the professional maturity to handle the emotional swings of NFL competition. The team's tactical approach also contributes to this pattern. Jacksonville's coaching staffs have frequently failed to make necessary adjustments after opponents have film of their successful game plans, leading to predictable offensive schemes and defensive alignments that opposing teams exploit. The franchise's tendency to rely heavily on emotional peaks rather than systematic execution means they often enter games after wins with inflated confidence rather than focused preparation. Smart bettors should target Jacksonville as road favorites or in divisional matchups following victories, particularly when facing teams coming off losses who will be more motivated and prepared. This trend carries the most weight when the Jaguars are favored by more than a field goal after beating quality opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Jacksonville Jaguars's ATS record as after a win?
The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 13-21-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 38.2% ATS win rate in games following victories.
Is betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars after a win is not profitable. The team has produced a -27.0% ROI with a 0.0% win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average of approximately 50% ATS. The Jaguars' 38.2% ATS rate after wins ranks among the poorest trends in the NFL over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.