The public often underestimates the Indianapolis Colts in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Indianapolis Colts hold a record of 16-13-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +5.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record16-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size29 games
ROI+5.3%
Units Won+1.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20151-1-00.0%-4.5%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20174-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20192-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Colts' solid divisional performance against the spread stems from their historically competitive AFC South positioning and organizational emphasis on divisional preparation. Indianapolis has maintained a culture of treating divisional games as playoff-caliber contests, particularly during the Andrew Luck era and continuing under current leadership. The franchise's methodical approach to game-planning shines brightest against familiar opponents, where coaching staff can exploit years of accumulated knowledge about divisional rivals' tendencies. Indianapolis benefits from playing in what's often been a top-heavy AFC South, where the Colts frequently enter divisional matchups as underdogs despite possessing superior talent or coaching advantages. Their defensive schemes tend to perform better against familiar offensive systems, while their offensive identity - whether built around a strong rushing attack or efficient passing game - creates favorable matchup scenarios that oddsmakers sometimes undervalue in divisional contests. The psychological edge cannot be overlooked either. Colts players and coaches understand that divisional records directly impact playoff seeding, creating heightened motivation that translates to covering spreads even in losses. Their home-field advantage at Lucas Oil Stadium amplifies this effect against division opponents. This trend carries the most weight when Indianapolis faces divisional opponents during the final month of the season, when playoff implications intensify preparation and execution levels.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indianapolis Colts's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The Indianapolis Colts have a 16-13-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 55.2% ATS win rate over 29 games against AFC South rivals.

Is betting on the Indianapolis Colts as vs division opponent profitable?

Yes, betting on the Indianapolis Colts against division opponents has been profitable with a 5.3% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the modest return, their 16-13 ATS record shows consistent value against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Colts' 55.2% ATS win rate against division opponents is above the typical 50% league average. Their 5.3% ROI also indicates better-than-average performance in divisional matchups over this 11-year span.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.