Indianapolis Colts As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Indianapolis Colts in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Indianapolis Colts hold a record of 37-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +33.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $18 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 8-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2018 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Colts' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their tendency to elevate their play when expectations are lowered. Indianapolis has historically thrived with a "nobody believes in us" mentality, particularly during seasons when injuries or roster turnover create doubt about their capabilities. The franchise's quarterback-centric offensive system often allows them to stay competitive against superior opponents through efficient passing attacks and opportunistic defense. Indianapolis benefits significantly from oddsmakers and the public undervaluing their adaptability. When facing stronger teams, the Colts often employ more conservative, ball-control strategies that keep games closer than expected, while their coaching staff has shown a knack for creative game-planning when given extra preparation time. The team's home-field advantage at Lucas Oil Stadium becomes amplified in underdog situations, as the crowd energy peaks when the team is fighting against expectations. The psychological edge of playing without pressure allows Indianapolis skill position players to perform more freely, while their defense tends to generate more turnovers when opponents expect easier victories. Bettors should particularly target Colts underdog spots in divisional games or when they're coming off disappointing losses, as these scenarios historically trigger their most motivated performances. This trend carries the most weight in primetime games and division matchups where pride becomes a significant factor.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indianapolis Colts's ATS record as as underdog?
The Indianapolis Colts have an impressive 37-16-0 ATS record as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 69.8% ATS win rate, meaning they've covered the spread in nearly 70% of games when getting points.
Is betting on the Indianapolis Colts as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Indianapolis Colts as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 33.3% ROI from 2014-2024. This strong return indicates consistent value when backing the Colts when they're not favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Colts' 69.8% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 33.3% ROI also far exceeds what most teams generate in underdog situations over this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.