The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game losing streak, the Houston Texans are just 43-44-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.6%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record43-44-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size87 games
ROI-5.6%
Units Won-4.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-2-00.0%+36.4%
20153-4-00.0%-18.2%
20162-5-00.0%-45.5%
20173-5-00.0%-28.4%
20182-5-00.0%-45.5%
20191-6-00.0%-72.7%
20203-1-00.0%+43.2%
20215-6-00.0%-13.2%
20227-4-00.0%+21.5%
20233-5-00.0%-28.4%
20249-1-00.0%+71.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Texans' struggles during extended losing streaks reveal a franchise pattern tied to organizational instability and coaching transitions. Throughout their relatively young history, Houston has cycled through multiple head coaches and offensive systems, creating an environment where three-game skids often spiral into longer collapses. When adversity hits, the team has historically lacked the veteran leadership and established culture needed to weather storms effectively. The franchise's boom-or-bust nature compounds these issues. Houston tends to either catch fire with explosive offensive performances or completely unravel when key pieces falter. During losing streaks, their aggressive defensive schemes become predictable, while offensive coordinator changes have repeatedly disrupted rhythm and player confidence. The team's reliance on individual playmakers rather than systematic excellence means that when stars underperform, the entire unit struggles to compensate. Quarterback instability has been a recurring theme during these downturns, with the organization frequently turning to backup options or rookie signal-callers who lack the experience to reverse negative momentum. This creates a compounding effect where offensive limitations put additional pressure on a defense that's already struggling. Bettors should target Houston as fade candidates when they enter three-game losing streaks during divisional matchups, where familiarity with opponents amplifies their strategic weaknesses and coaching deficiencies become most apparent.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as on a 3+ game losing streak?

The Houston Texans have a 43-44-0 ATS record when on a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents 87 total games with no pushes recorded.

Is betting on the Houston Texans as on a 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Houston Texans during 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable. The team has a 0.0% win rate and produces a -5.6% ROI, indicating consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the theoretical 50% expectation for ATS betting. The 49.4% ATS rate (43-44) combined with the negative ROI suggests the Texans consistently underperform expectations when struggling.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.