Houston Texans Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Houston Texans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Houston Texans hold a record of 17-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +47.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $10 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2015 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Texans' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a franchise built through adversity. Houston has historically thrived when expectations are lowest, often fielding teams with strong defensive foundations that can keep games competitive regardless of talent disparities. Their defensive schemes under various coordinators have consistently emphasized discipline and gap integrity, allowing them to punch above their weight against superior opponents who might overlook preparation. The psychological element cannot be understated. When Houston enters games as significant underdogs, the pressure shifts entirely to their opponents, while the Texans can play with house money. This dynamic has repeatedly benefited teams in the AFC South, where parity often creates situations where perceived talent gaps don't translate to actual performance gaps on game day. The franchise's culture of resilience, established during their early years of building from scratch, has created a team identity that embraces the underdog role. Players and coaches seem to elevate their preparation and execution when facing long odds, treating these games as proving grounds rather than foregone conclusions. This trend matters most in divisional games and primetime spots where motivation peaks and the Texans can leverage their defensive identity to frustrate favored opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Texans's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Houston Texans have an impressive 17-5-0 ATS record when listed as large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This translates to a 77.3% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Houston Texans as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Texans as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 47.5% ROI over this period. Despite never winning these games outright (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outpaces the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Texans' 77.3% ATS rate as large underdogs represents exceptional value for bettors.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.